Konstantin Ankilov, CEO of the consulting agency TMT Consulting

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Alexander Frolov, head of the workplace infrastructure management group at the integrator company ICL Services, believes that the figures presented by Stream Consulting are understandable, since import substitution has largely affected the public sector: "It was here that many regulations were adopted requiring companies to switch to import-substituting software and equipment. Other sectors are trying to make the most of the solutions they use."

believes that it is impossible to switch south africa whatsapp number database to new software at once, even if there are alternatives: "The import substitution program implied years for this process, and today's situation is natural. In each case, the risks are different: from zero to high. It is necessary to take into account the presence or absence of vulnerabilities associated with the software in each example."

Freedom Finance Global analyst Vladimir Chernov told a ComNews correspondent: "In June 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin asked the Ministry of Digital Development to develop recommendations to accelerate the transition of Russian state-owned companies, government agencies, federal companies, companies with state participation and other organizations to domestic software. In January 2024, recommendations appeared on the department's website that by the end of this year it was necessary to complete the transfer of general system software: operating systems, virtualization platforms, office and antivirus software. By the end of 2025, it is necessary to adapt application software to work with domestic database management systems. At the same time, the recommendations leave the right for some companies to violate these deadlines depending on the size of the digital infrastructure used and the volume of data subject to migration, taking into account the transition to domestic solutions. That is, already in the middle of last year, the need to switch to domestic software was clear, and many companies began this process. In October 2023, the Ministry of Digital Development also increased the KPI for the implementation of Russian operational systems and other software for 2023 by more than two times, from 23% to 54%. And many government agencies and state-owned companies had to accelerate the pace of this transition in order to achieve the updated targets for 2023, which accelerated the total volume of expenses of Russian corporate and private users on hardware and software."

According to estimates by the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge at the National Research University Higher School of Economics, the revenue of the Russian IT industry grew by 22% in 2022, which means that high growth rates will continue in 2023. "The reason for the growth remains the state course on building a sovereign digital economy. The absolute figures are also more or less similar - the HSE ISSEK estimated the Russian industry at 2.17 trillion rubles for 2022, which at a rate of 22% would lead to 2.64 trillion rubles for 2023," noted FG Finam analyst Leonid Delitsyn.

He mentioned in a conversation with a ComNews correspondent: "In our strategy for investing in technology, media and telecommunications for the second quarter of 2024, we published a forecast for the global ICT market, where ICT spending is predicted to be $6 trillion for 2028, including $1.9 trillion for IT services. Our forecast for the Russian IT market for 2028 is 5.8 trillion rubles, and the average growth rate for the upcoming period is 18%."

Stream Consulting experts believe that the Russian IT market will grow at an average annual rate of 12% and its volume by the end of 2028 will amount to 4.43 trillion rubles.